Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#178
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#157
Pace71.6#55
Improvement+2.1#86

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#178
Improvement-0.1#188

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#178
Improvement+2.1#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2014 70   @ Old Dominion L 56-76 16%     0 - 1 -10.5 +4.8 +4.8
  Nov 18, 2014 275   @ UNC Greensboro W 84-72 58%     1 - 1 +8.9 -1.6 -1.6
  Nov 22, 2014 302   @ VMI W 110-93 66%     2 - 1 +11.8 -2.6 -2.6
  Nov 29, 2014 30   @ Davidson L 49-72 9%     2 - 2 -8.9 +7.0 +7.0
  Dec 14, 2014 16   @ Louisville L 57-68 5%     2 - 3 +6.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Dec 17, 2014 337   Liberty W 73-70 OT 91%     3 - 3 -13.1 -8.0 -8.0
  Dec 20, 2014 206   East Carolina W 66-54 65%     4 - 3 +6.9 -2.5 -2.5
  Dec 23, 2014 307   @ Campbell L 63-69 67%     4 - 4 -11.7 -2.8 -2.8
  Dec 27, 2014 48   @ Minnesota L 82-108 11%     4 - 5 -13.8 +6.1 +6.1
  Dec 30, 2014 224   @ Ohio L 53-72 47%     4 - 6 -19.3 -0.2 -0.2
  Jan 03, 2015 115   Hofstra L 56-68 44%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -11.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 05, 2015 127   @ Northeastern W 75-68 27%     5 - 7 1 - 1 +12.3 +2.6 +2.6
  Jan 08, 2015 256   Delaware W 74-73 OT 75%     6 - 7 2 - 1 -7.1 -4.1 -4.1
  Jan 10, 2015 252   Drexel W 64-57 74%     7 - 7 3 - 1 -0.9 -3.9 -3.9
  Jan 14, 2015 120   @ William & Mary L 72-76 26%     7 - 8 3 - 2 +1.7 +2.9 +2.9
  Jan 17, 2015 115   @ Hofstra W 79-74 24%     8 - 8 4 - 2 +11.3 +3.2 +3.2
  Jan 21, 2015 281   @ College of Charleston W 58-56 OT 59%     9 - 8 5 - 2 -1.5 -1.7 -1.7
  Jan 24, 2015 262   Towson W 69-65 76%     10 - 8 6 - 2 -4.4 -4.2 -4.2
  Jan 28, 2015 248   Elon W 82-65 74%     11 - 8 7 - 2 +9.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Jan 31, 2015 252   @ Drexel L 76-85 54%     11 - 9 7 - 3 -11.1 -1.1 -1.1
  Feb 04, 2015 209   @ James Madison W 77-65 44%     12 - 9 8 - 3 +12.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 07, 2015 120   William & Mary L 53-56 46%     12 - 10 8 - 4 -3.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Feb 11, 2015 281   College of Charleston W 58-45 78%     13 - 10 9 - 4 +3.8 -4.6 -4.6
  Feb 14, 2015 127   Northeastern W 66-61 48%     14 - 10 10 - 4 +4.5 -0.2 -0.2
  Feb 19, 2015 256   @ Delaware L 59-70 55%     14 - 11 10 - 5 -13.4 -1.2 -1.2
  Feb 21, 2015 262   @ Towson W 73-69 56%     15 - 11 11 - 5 +1.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Feb 25, 2015 209   James Madison W 74-54 65%     16 - 11 12 - 5 +14.9 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 28, 2015 248   @ Elon L 55-74 54%     16 - 12 12 - 6 -21.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Mar 07, 2015 281   College of Charleston W 79-53 70%     17 - 12 +19.7 -3.2 -3.2
  Mar 08, 2015 127   Northeastern L 71-78 37%     17 - 13 -4.6 +1.2 +1.2
Projected Record 17.0 - 13.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%